Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.227980 0.271959 0.321322 0.380715 0.450108 0.528492 0.623608
2025-02-16 0.159042 0.214223 0.283201 0.375246 0.494272 0.642352 0.839814
2025-02-23 0.118638 0.175199 0.251851 0.362278 0.516031 0.721055 1.013363
2025-03-02 0.090777 0.145017 0.223733 0.344655 0.523655 0.776310 1.156624
2025-03-09 0.077796 0.132897 0.217641 0.355031 0.569033 0.885573 1.383674
2025-03-16 0.062824 0.114452 0.198374 0.341546 0.575461 0.936862 1.529361
2025-03-23 0.055137 0.106331 0.193698 0.349531 0.614879 1.040496 1.763168
2025-03-30 0.048522 0.098748 0.188477 0.355317 0.650513 1.140643 2.000030
2025-04-06 0.041646 0.089362 0.178510 0.351104 0.668002 1.211893 2.195264
2025-04-13 0.036026 0.081333 0.169680 0.347406 0.685328 1.283607 2.396743
2025-04-20 0.032960 0.077907 0.168985 0.358592 0.730465 1.407186 2.698411
2025-04-27 0.032357 0.079582 0.178504 0.390582 0.817688 1.613275 3.164040
2025-05-04 0.029677 0.076433 0.178194 0.403848 0.872261 1.768272 3.557552
2025-05-11 0.025855 0.069973 0.170005 0.399937 0.892765 1.862210 3.847878
2025-05-18 0.021911 0.062395 0.158107 0.386283 0.891420 1.913388 4.060464
2025-05-25 0.018273 0.054793 0.144859 0.367587 0.876841 1.936298 4.218754
2025-06-01 0.016880 0.052831 0.144639 0.378599 0.927817 2.096615 4.666359
2025-06-08 0.014343 0.047157 0.134354 0.364288 0.920387 2.134448 4.865339
2025-06-15 0.013224 0.045317 0.133500 0.372762 0.965935 2.288595 5.320313
2025-06-22 0.012119 0.043288 0.131820 0.378902 1.006583 2.435509 5.771659
2025-06-29 0.010729 0.040054 0.126338 0.374431 1.021066 2.525479 6.106109
2025-07-06 0.009531 0.037165 0.121336 0.370507 1.036361 2.618445 6.454565
2025-07-13 0.008968 0.036305 0.122079 0.382377 1.092865 2.811346 7.044057